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Titlewishing wealth - stock market technical indicators & analysis

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Description a stock market technical indicators and analysis blog by dr. wish. here you'll find 40 years of strategies and tested market technical indicators.

Length: 152, Words: 23
Keywords technical indicators, stock market technical indicators, stock market technical analysis
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wishing wealth blog
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74th day of $qqq short term up-trend; $uup (1/0/0) falls and $gld (12/6/6) rises; glb: $veev (12/6/6)
market rally over? my refined strategy for timing exits and entries; recent glb: $lite
72nd day of $qqq short term up-trend; rally tomorrow and sell in may?
71st day of $qqq short term up-trend; $spy rwb pattern over, mutual fund window dressing to bring rally?
$qqq short term up-trend could end today at 70 days; end of 1st quarter rally coming?
$qqq strongest; $gs weakens, $wd resumes advance and $yin has glb; a strategy for setting stops
how i use daily rwb charts to size up the market and individual stocks; run my new scan
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strong
my strategy is to own strong up-trending stocks that have recently rested and are now resuming their advance. i look for stocks in an rwb up-trend which have recent oversold indicators. in addition, the rlc must currently be back to 6 (of 6) and leading all 12 averages higher. the tlc must also be at 12, ensuring that it is an rwb pattern and all averages have lined up perfectly. my tc2000 scan finds such stocks by identifying those that have had a lower bollinger band bounce or  low stochastics in the last 5 days plus a rising relative strength versus the s&p500.
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i
my strategy is to own strong up-trending stocks that have recently rested and are now resuming their advance. i look for stocks in an rwb up-trend which have recent oversold indicators. in addition, the rlc must currently be back to 6 (of 6) and leading all 12 averages higher. the tlc must also be at 12, ensuring that it is an rwb pattern and all averages have lined up perfectly. my tc2000 scan finds such stocks by identifying those that have had a lower bollinger band bounce or  low stochastics in the last 5 days plus a rising relative strength versus the s&p500.
em my strategy is to own strong up-trending stocks that have recently rested and are now resuming their advance. i look for stocks in an rwb up-trend which have recent oversold indicators. in addition, the rlc must currently be back to 6 (of 6) and leading all 12 averages higher. the tlc must also be at 12, ensuring that it is an rwb pattern and all averages have lined up perfectly. my tc2000 scan finds such stocks by identifying those that have had a lower bollinger band bounce or  low stochastics in the last 5 days plus a rising relative strength versus the s&p500.
Bolds strong 1
b 0
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em 1
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74th day of $qqq short term up-trend; $uup (1/0/0) falls and $gld (12/6/6) rises; glb: $veev (12/6/6) https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/74th-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-uup-100-falls-and-gld-1266-rises-glb-veev-1266/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/74th-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-uup-100-falls-and-gld-1266-rises-glb-veev-1266/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
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leave a comment https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/74th-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-uup-100-falls-and-gld-1266-rises-glb-veev-1266/#respond
market rally over? my refined strategy for timing exits and entries; recent glb: $lite https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/market-rally-over-my-refined-strategy-for-timing-exits-and-entries-recent-glb-lite/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/market-rally-over-my-refined-strategy-for-timing-exits-and-entries-recent-glb-lite/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
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all posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/all-posts/
general market index (gmi) table https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/general-market-index-gmi-table/
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4 comments https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/market-rally-over-my-refined-strategy-for-timing-exits-and-entries-recent-glb-lite/#comments
72nd day of $qqq short term up-trend; rally tomorrow and sell in may? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/72nd-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-rally-tomorrow-and-sell-in-may/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/72nd-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-rally-tomorrow-and-sell-in-may/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
sell in may http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sell-in-may-and-go-away.asp
all posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/all-posts/
3 comments https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/72nd-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-rally-tomorrow-and-sell-in-may/#comments
71st day of $qqq short term up-trend; $spy rwb pattern over, mutual fund window dressing to bring rally? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/71st-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-spy-rwb-pattern-over-mutual-fund-window-dressing-to-bring-rally/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/71st-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-spy-rwb-pattern-over-mutual-fund-window-dressing-to-bring-rally/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
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mutual funds dress up their quarterly portfolio reports http://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/windowdressing.asp
all posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/all-posts/
1 comment https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/71st-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-spy-rwb-pattern-over-mutual-fund-window-dressing-to-bring-rally/#comments
$qqq short term up-trend could end today at 70 days; end of 1st quarter rally coming? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-short-term-up-trend-could-end-today-at-70-days-end-of-1st-quarter-rally-coming/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-short-term-up-trend-could-end-today-at-70-days-end-of-1st-quarter-rally-coming/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
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2 comments https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-short-term-up-trend-could-end-today-at-70-days-end-of-1st-quarter-rally-coming/#comments
$qqq strongest; $gs weakens, $wd resumes advance and $yin has glb; a strategy for setting stops https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-strongest-gs-weakens-wd-resumes-advance-and-yin-has-glb-a-strategy-for-setting-stops/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-strongest-gs-weakens-wd-resumes-advance-and-yin-has-glb-a-strategy-for-setting-stops/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
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 came up in the scan i described yesterday, which you can get by joining my tc2000 club. https://www.wishingwealthblog.com/club

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all posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/all-posts/
leave a comment https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-strongest-gs-weakens-wd-resumes-advance-and-yin-has-glb-a-strategy-for-setting-stops/#respond
how i use daily rwb charts to size up the market and individual stocks; run my new scan https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/how-i-use-daily-rwb-charts-to-size-up-the-market-and-individual-stocks-run-my-new-scan/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/how-i-use-daily-rwb-charts-to-size-up-the-market-and-individual-stocks-run-my-new-scan/
dr. wish https://wishingwealthblog.com/author/ewish/
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
stage analysis http://www.nextbigtrade.com/stage-analysis/
gmma http://www.guppytraders.com/gup329.shtml
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dow theory http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dowtheory.asp
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general market index (gmi) table https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/general-market-index-gmi-table/
my favorite posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/category/my-favorite-posts/
1 comment https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/how-i-use-daily-rwb-charts-to-size-up-the-market-and-individual-stocks-run-my-new-scan/#comments
older posts https://wishingwealthblog.com/page/2/
2 https://wishingwealthblog.com/page/2/
382 https://wishingwealthblog.com/page/382/
next → https://wishingwealthblog.com/page/2/
about the general market index (gmi) https://wishingwealthblog.com/2005/04/general-market-index-gmi/
how to use ibd 100 and new america stocks and tc2007 to find potential rocket stocks; market rally begins https://wishingwealthblog.com/2010/02/how-to-use-ibd-100-and-new-america-stocks-and-tc2007-to-find-potential-rocket-stocks-market-rally-begun/
the new 3x etf’s–triple your pleasure — or pain https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/02/the-new-3x-etfs-triple-your-pleasure-or-pain/
welcome to the new *and improved* wishing wealth https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/01/welcome-to-the-new-and-improved-wishing-wealth/
ibd 100 list top ten stocks do outperform! https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/10/ibd-100-list-top-ten-do-outperform/
how i use put options as investment insurance https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/03/how-i-use-put-options-as-investment-insurance/
my first youtube vlog (video blog) post: sell in may and go away? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2012/05/my-first-youtube-vlog-video-blog-post-sell-in-may-and-go-away/
so, wishing wealth reader, tell us about yourself… https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/03/so-wishing-wealth-reader-tell-us-about-yourself/
all gmi indicators negative, t2108 at 13%; not enough bears? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2011/08/all-gmi-indicators-negative-t2108-at-13-not-enough-bears/
up-trend continues–check out the guppy chart of the qqqq https://wishingwealthblog.com/2009/11/up-trend-continues-check-out-the-guppy-chart-of-the-qqqq/
74th day of $qqq short term up-trend; $uup (1/0/0) falls and $gld (12/6/6) rises; glb: $veev (12/6/6) https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/74th-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-uup-100-falls-and-gld-1266-rises-glb-veev-1266/
market rally over? my refined strategy for timing exits and entries; recent glb: $lite https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/market-rally-over-my-refined-strategy-for-timing-exits-and-entries-recent-glb-lite/
72nd day of $qqq short term up-trend; rally tomorrow and sell in may? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/72nd-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-rally-tomorrow-and-sell-in-may/
71st day of $qqq short term up-trend; $spy rwb pattern over, mutual fund window dressing to bring rally? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/71st-day-of-qqq-short-term-up-trend-spy-rwb-pattern-over-mutual-fund-window-dressing-to-bring-rally/
$qqq short term up-trend could end today at 70 days; end of 1st quarter rally coming? https://wishingwealthblog.com/2017/03/qqq-short-term-up-trend-could-end-today-at-70-days-end-of-1st-quarter-rally-coming/
blue collar investor http://www.thebluecollarinvestor.com/
cnnmoney: pre-market futures http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/
dark liquidity http://dark-liquidity.com
downtowntrader http://downtowntrader.blogspot.com/
seeking alpha http://seekingalpha.com/
stock chartist http://stockchartist.blogspot.com/
stockblogs.com http://stockblogs.com/
the kirk report http://www.thekirkreport.com/
the money blogs http://www.themoneyblogs.com/
ticker sense http://tickersense.typepad.com/
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- https://www.amazon.com/complete-encyclopedia-covered-call-writing/dp/1937183068%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d1937183068
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- https://www.amazon.com/how-make-money-stocks-winning/dp/0071614133%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0071614133
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- https://www.amazon.com/how-legendary-traders-made-millions/dp/0071468226%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0071468226
- https://www.amazon.com/complete-turtletrader-legend-lessons-results/dp/0061241709%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0061241709
- https://www.amazon.com/make-money-selling-stocks-short/dp/0471710490%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0471710490
- https://www.amazon.com/reminiscences-stock-operator-edwin-lef%c3%a8vre/dp/0471770884%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0471770884
- https://www.amazon.com/stan-weinsteins-secrets-profiting-markets/dp/1556236832%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d1556236832
- https://www.amazon.com/lessons-greatest-stock-traders-time/dp/0071437886%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0071437886
- https://www.amazon.com/how-made-000-stock-market/dp/0818403969%3fsubscriptionid%3dakiajarokayqy26kbaiq%26tag%3dwisweablo-20%26linkcode%3dxm2%26camp%3d2025%26creative%3d165953%26creativeasin%3d0818403969
mike wish http://mikewish.com

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skip to content advertisement view wishingwealthblog’s profile on facebookview wishingwealth’s profile on twitterview ericwish’s profile on linkedinview wishingwealth’s profile on youtube wishing wealth blog stock market technical indicators & analysis search menu home about disclaimer contact recommended reading topics general market index (gmi) table nicolas darvas my favorite posts tutorial umdsmc education posts video blog glossary tc2000 scans & watchlists $25 coupon for tc2000 search 74th day of $qqq short term up-trend; $uup (1/0/0) falls and $gld (12/6/6) rises; glb: $veev (12/6/6) monday, march 27, 2017 @ 9:28 pm by dr. wish gmi4/6 gmi-25/8 t210837% a lot of my stocks rose nicely on monday and i was therefore surprised to see that most stocks did not do well. i found more stocks at new lows than new highs and only 49% of u.s. stocks rose. the t2108 was unchanged. so i think we may be seeing the end of quarter mutual fund window dressing when they beef up their portfolios with the strongest stocks. three of the four  fang stocks rose ( amzn, nflx, googl but not fb).  if this is window dressing, look for weakness by the end of this week. the dollar (uup) remains in a bwr decline (1/0/0). and gld is in a rwb up-trend (12/6/6). as the dollar declines, it takes more of them to buy an ounce of gold. meanwhile, veev had a nice glb on monday with strong technical readings (12/6/6). (read my prior post and my glossary to learn what these counts mean.) here is its daily rwb chart. note the triple digit (+114%) earnings last quarter and that veev has already doubled over the past year. if i bought veev here, my stops would be around 48.13 (lowest red line) or 46.58 (highest blue line). (see my prior post for a description of my strategy.) categories all postsleave a comment market rally over? my refined strategy for timing exits and entries; recent glb: $lite sunday, march 26, 2017monday, march 27, 2017 @ 11:05 pm by dr. wish gmi3/6 gmi-24/8 t210837% i spent a lot of time over spring break last week reviewing the market and my technical approach. i gained a renewed interest in the value of daily rwb charts.  rwb charts consist of 12 exponential moving averages (see this blog’s glossary for definitions) plus a simple one day average to show the daily close. daily rwb charts move more quickly than weekly charts and provide possible exit points for stops that are closer to my entry points. minimizing losses are critical to trading success. i developed 3 quantitative measures that  help me to characterize a daily rwb chart pattern. the total line count (tlc) is a count of the averages that fall into line with the close and each average higher than the next longer average. a perfect tlc of 12 means that the current price is higher than all the remaining averages that are lined up in order below it. this daily chart shows a tlc=12. the dotted line is the daily close. the purple dots show each daily low and provide a way of assessing volatility and support for placing stops. the red line count (rlc) counts the number of the 6 red line averages (shorter averages) that the close is above. it goes from 0-6. the blue line count (blc) counts the number of blue averages that the close is above (0-6). the top line of this chart indicates that crto has values of 12/6/6. (tlc/rlc/blc) which is a perfect score. note the wide white space between the rising red and blue lines. this is the pattern of a rwb up-trend. i only buy equities that are  in an rwb up-trend. as a stock starts to weaken, the rlc will quickly decline. a possible first exit or place for me to reduce a position is when the stock closes below all of the red lines and rlc=0,  but as long as the blc=6 the stock is above the 6 blue lines and the up-tend may continue. if any red line crosses below a blue line the white space has disappeared and i must sell the stock. the stock must stay in an rwb up-trend for me to buy or hold it. if the stock registers 0/0 (rlc/blc) it is another warning to exit. my strategy is to own strong up-trending stocks that have recently rested and are now resuming their advance. i look for stocks in an rwb up-trend which have recent oversold indicators. in addition, the rlc must currently be back to 6 (of 6) and leading all 12 averages higher. the tlc must also be at 12, ensuring that it is an rwb pattern and all averages have lined up perfectly. my tc2000 scan finds such stocks by identifying those that have had a lower bollinger band bounce or  low stochastics in the last 5 days plus a rising relative strength versus the s&p500. two dow stocks meet these criteria now, mcd and msft. i will just show mcd as an example, never as a recommendation. mcd is a 12/6/6 (tlc/rlc/blc) but had  low stochastics within the last 5 days (not shown). if i bought mcd on monday, likely around 129,34, my first partial exit could be at the lowest red line (currently 128.39, on second line in above chart). a close below its top blue line (127.45) would be a greater sign of weakness. if a red line declines into the blue lines,  the rwb disappears entirely and i must exit. what i really like about this approach is that my exit/stop points can be quite close to my purchase price. note that mcd has not closed even once below all of its red lines since late january! the purple dots show a few times where the daily low closed in the white space but the stock always closed back within the red lines. it may therefore be preferable to avoid such whipsaws by employing mental stops and assessing each position for a signal near the close each day. aapl has also never closed below its red lines since january, but it has weakened a little to a 11/4/6. for now,  its rwb pattern remains very much intact. recent glb, lite, has a rebounding  12/6/6 rwb pattern after retesting its green line. my scan would have picked it up lower, below $50. gs provides an example of how a stock’s up-trend turns into a down-trend. gs is now a 5/0/0.  this method might have gotten me out around 246 when the rwb pattern disappeared, or earlier, around 250, when the white space was first encroached by the daily close. note also the entry set-up last february when rlc=6 after weakness. this technique also works well for me to analyze etfs and market indexes. the current readings for the major indexes are: spy 6/0/3, dia 6/0/4 and qqq 9/1/6. thus the spy and dia have both closed below all of their red lines but are still above 3 or 4 of their blue lines. their rwb advance is over for now. the qqq is above 1 red line and all of its blue lines and still has a rwb pattern. below is spy and qqq. so the qqq remains in an rwb up-trend pattern, though it has weakened. note that it closed above all red lines much of the time since february. the spy (and dia) are wounded and if  their blc turns 0, it will suggest at least a likely short term decline. a bwr decline pattern could suggest much more weakness……… because of its focus heavily on the qqq, the gmi remains green. the qqq short term trend count is u-73, and approaching the longest such up-trend since 2006, which ended at 88 days (u-88). the end of this qqq short term up-trend is likely imminent, but it is better to react to a technical signal than to try to act in advance. categories all posts, general market index (gmi) table, my favorite posts4 comments 72nd day of $qqq short term up-trend; rally tomorrow and sell in may? thursday, march 23, 2017 @ 9:29 pm by dr. wish gmi3/6 gmi-24/8 t210838% the gmi remains at 3 and would have to be below 3 for 2 consecutive days to turn red. the qqq remains in  short and longer term up-trends. end of quarter window dressing may begin tomorrow, as the futures look strong tonight. then on to earnings and to “sell in may.” categories all posts3 comments 71st day of $qqq short term up-trend; $spy rwb pattern over, mutual fund window dressing to bring rally? wednesday, march 22, 2017 @ 11:35 pm by dr. wish gmi3/6 gmi-23/8 t210835% the qqq short term up-trend has held. but note that the rwb pattern has ended for the spy on this daily chart.this is the first time since the beginning of this rally in november that the rwb pattern has failed. this is a close-up of the daily spy.  the spy closed (dotted line) among the longer term averages (blue lines) and is leading the shorter averages (red lines) down to converge with them, making the white space in between them disappear. this is important technical weakness. if the rwb pattern does not reassert itself and a bwr pattern emerges, the decline will be larger and longer. i still suspect a snap back rally this week into the end of the quarter when the mutual funds dress up their quarterly portfolio reports with the strongest stocks. or you can attribute it to  the vote…. categories all posts1 comment $qqq short term up-trend could end today at 70 days; end of 1st quarter rally coming? wednesday, march 22, 2017 @ 6:25 am by dr. wish gmi4/6 gmi-24/8 t210836% this modest decline has not reached over-sold levels yet. i went to cash and gold in my trading accounts yesterday. plenty of time to get back on board when my stocks look strong again with rlcs=6. i would not be surprised if we  get a sharp snap back rally into the end of the quarter mutual fund window dressing at the end of this week. media pundits are becoming hysterical about this decline. don’t people know that the market goes in both directions and this has been a rare uninterrupted advance? the longest qqq short term up-trend (by my definition) since 2006 was 88 days and this one just turned 70. the put/call ratio is 1.04 and t2108 is 36. daily 10.4 stochastics for qqq=57. bounces usually come after more extreme numbers than these. meanwhile the rlc (red line count) for these symbols:  qqq=0, spy=0, uup=0 buy tlt=6, gld=6. so stocks and dollar down but bonds and gold up. this daily chart of qqq shows the high volume distribution day yesterday. categories all posts2 comments $qqq strongest; $gs weakens, $wd resumes advance and $yin has glb; a strategy for setting stops monday, march 20, 2017 @ 8:26 pm by dr. wish gmi5/6 gmi-26/8 t210846% the rlc (red line count described in yesterday’s post) for the indexes are:  qqq=6, spy=0 and dia=1. thus the qqq remains in a strong up-trend even as the other two indexes remain much weaker. the dj-20=0 and is again causing me some concern, as i noted yesterday. gld is rising with an rlc=6. ten of the dow 30 stocks have an rlc=0 and another 3 have an  rlc=1 or 3. gs is an example of a dow stock with an rlc=0. after failing to hold its green line break-out (glb), gs has declined so that it closed (closes shown by dotted line) below all of its 6 red line averages (hence rlc=0) and is now below most of the blue lines. while this is not the kiss of death, i would not buy gs again (or hold it) until gs can close back above its 6 red lines (rlc=6) like it did in early february. wd shows the type of strong action that might interest me. (wd came up in the scan i described yesterday, which you can get by joining my tc2000 club.) after having a glb in early february,  wd advanced and then consolidated and now has broken out. it has an rlc=6 (see end of first line on chart). its lowest red line = 41.18 (see end of second line on chart), which is around where i might place my first sell stop. however, recent daily lows (shown by purple dots) are around 40 and may be a better place of prior support to set my stop. alternatively, if i had bought the stock in february i might wait for the stock to close at its top blue line, around 39 to exit. when the rwb pattern disappears i must exit. another strategy is to sell half a position at the higher stop and the rest at the highest blue line. this weekly chart shows that the 2016 ipo, yin,  has had a glb (monday on high volume). here is the rwb daily chart for yin. note its strong rwb pattern and that the rlc was 6 just about every day. categories all postsleave a comment how i use daily rwb charts to size up the market and individual stocks; run my new scan sunday, march 19, 2017sunday, march 19, 2017 @ 9:53 pm by dr. wish gmi5/6 gmi-26/8 t210850% for many years i have been  a fan of stan weinstein’s stage analysis (see his book on this page). that approach looks at a stock’s price compared to its 30 week moving average. a lot of analysts use this technique. my students all know to only buy or hold stocks that are above a rising 30 week average,  or in a weinstein stage ii. this is one of the six components i assess in my gmi (see table below). another approach i like to use is an adaptation of the 12 exponential moving averages that australian technical analyst daryl guppy uses. his gmma (guppy multiple moving averages)  plots the following weekly moving averages (six short averages 3,5,8,10,12,15 and 6 longer term averages 30,35,40,45,50,60). i have developed  a modified chart using the 12 exponential averages plus a simple average =1 which shows the close each period on the chart. the six shorter averages are red and the six longer term averages are blue. the dotted line on the chart is the close each period. the background is always white. the period depends on the time period of the chart shown. i have been using the weekly charts to show a rwb (red/white/blue) up-trend when the red averages are rising above the rising blue averages such that there is a white space between them. a bwr down-trend is simply the reverse pattern. i recently came to the conclusion that the weekly chart is good for showing the longer term trend but not very useful for timing entries and exits. it just takes too long for the weekly averages to show a change in trend. i have therefore decided to focus mainly on rwb daily charts. i also added a plot of the new single day average of the daily lows to show the low price of the equity each day (purple dots). these dots can aid in visualizing support and where to place stops. this daily chart helps me to immediately determine the short term trend. an advancing equity will have a rwb pattern with the daily price (dotted line) above all 12 lines and leading all of the shorter term (red averages) averages higher. i now compute and show on each chart a count of the number of red averages that the equity is above (rlc or red line count). thus an advancing equity will have a maximum value of 6 of 6. a value of 0 means the equity is below all of the red averages. this is a signal to me for caution. as long as the stock remains in an rwb pattern it is still advancing, but if the rlc is 0 i might raise my stop. i would definitely sell out my position  if the red lines converge with the blue lines so that the white space between them disappears. it is much easier to demonstrate the above description with an equity. here is the daily chart of qqq. the qqq has been in an rwb up-trend since last december. there was one day, december 30, when the qqq closed below its red lines and entered the blue lines. but the rwb pattern never disappeared. for most of the days since then the qqq (dotted line) closed above all of the red lines. as of friday, the qqq closed above only 5 of the 6 red lines. note the 5 at the end of  the top line of my chart. this is the red line count (rlc). what caught my attention was this daily chart of the spy. the rlc=0 for the spy! while this is not a huge sign of weakness, it is the first time it has happened since january. in those cases the spy rebounded right away. will it do so on monday? the rlc=2  for the dia and is also showing an rlc rarely seen since this rally began. what really concerned me was this chart of the dow jones transportation average. not only is the rlc=0 but the rwb pattern is totally gone and the dj-20 has now closed below all of the red and blue averages. this may be significant because one classic way of sizing up the market trend is the dow theory, which uses the industrial and transportation indexes. a strong economy and market should show up in strong rails and airlines…. i also find the daily rwb charts very useful for analyzing individual stocks. i use tc2000 to scan for stocks in a steady rwb daily up-trend that have recently been oversold. the rwb chart shows me where i might place my sell stop if i make a purchase. i either want to sell if the stock returns below the lowest rising red line (which will be the 15 day exponential moving average) or if it breaks recent support. i can find these levels easily by looking at the pattern of daily lows (purple dots) or the values of the 15 day exponential average which appears on the second line of each chart in large digits. here is an example of a stock that came up in my scan for daily rwb stocks that have been oversold and resumed their advance. this is not a recommendation for purchase and is for illustrative purposes only. azpn is a strong stock (up 70% this year) that is in an rwb pattern. the rlc=6, indicating that azpn has closed back above all of its red lines. the value of its lowest red line is 58.51 (second line, big digits after next earnings date) and a conservative place for a sell stop might be just below this level. azpn has rarely closed below all of its red lines.  however, the purple dots show that the daily lows of azpn have recently been below all of the red lines. this is to be expected because this scan looks for stocks that were recently oversold (low stochastics). so a more liberal stop might be below its lowest recent daily low, somewhat less than 58. note also the above average trading volume on friday’s rise. one thing i do not like about azpn is its low recent quarterly earnings, up only +9%. i like this scan a lot. but i suspect that if the averages rest over the next few days, these set-ups will fail. we are approaching the end of first quarter period. often times there is a brief decline that sets-up end of quarter window dressing by the mutual funds. so i am watching very carefully this week while i am out on spring break. i ran this scan on my list of stocks that have hit an all-time high since i started informally aggregating them this year. the scan identified  59 stocks. if you want to run this scan, go to my tc2000 club and access the scan from 03182017. this scan is further described in the glossary to this blog page. let me know if it works well for you, please. the gmi is at 5 (of 6)  and the gmi-2 is 6 (of 8), but note that the two negative components in the gmi-2 (stochastics and macd) are the most sensitive ones and the first to weaken if the qqq is ending its up-trend. my up-trend count is now u-68, closing in on the longest short term up-trend since 2006 (88 days). categories general market index (gmi) table, my favorite posts1 comment post navigation older posts 1 2 … 382 next → current gmi signal green since close on november 10, 2016 advertisement green line breakouts (glb) these are stocks/etfs i am tracking that have had a recent green line breakout (glb) and met some of my other technical criteria. i am tracking their performance below: sym. date glb price now chg cc 11/4/16 $16.64 $34.39 106.67% cgnx 11/7/16 $52.05 $80.81 55.25% etfc 11/11/16 $31.56 $33.55 6.31% msa 11/11/16 $60.64 $68.58 13.09% nxst 12/6/16 $61.72 $69.15 12.04% qqq 12/27/16 $120.50 $130.84 8.58% shop 12/27/16 $42.03 $70.40 67.50% vntv 1/3/17 $60.06 $63.76 6.16% aaoi 1/12/17 $28.01 $59.88 113.78% nflx 1/13/17 $133.27 $144.06 8.10% nvee 1/20/17 $37.06 $36.90 -0.43% race 1/23/17 $60.78 $73.93 21.64% ba 1/24/17 $159.11 $176.10 10.68% ipgp 1/24/17 $102.90 $118.63 15.29% quotes may be delayed up to 10 minutes follow me on twittermy tweetsdr. wish’s tc2000 webinars tc2000 user group - december 2012 doctor's orders - august 2010 a word from dr. wish - april 2010 other dr. wish videos... get wishing wealth in your inbox... popularmost discussedrecentabout the general market index (gmi)how to use ibd 100 and new america stocks and tc2007 to find potential rocket stocks; market rally beginsthe new 3x etf’s–triple your pleasure — or painwelcome to the new *and improved* wishing wealthibd 100 list top ten stocks do outperform! how i use put options as investment insurance my first youtube vlog (video blog) post: sell in may and go away? so, wishing wealth reader, tell us about yourself… all gmi indicators negative, t2108 at 13%; not enough bears? up-trend continues–check out the guppy chart of the qqqq 74th day of $qqq short term up-trend; $uup (1/0/0) falls and $gld (12/6/6) rises; glb: $veev (12/6/6) market rally over? my refined strategy for timing exits and entries; recent glb: $lite 72nd day of $qqq short term up-trend; rally tomorrow and sell in may? 71st day of $qqq short term up-trend; $spy rwb pattern over, mutual fund window dressing to bring rally? $qqq short term up-trend could end today at 70 days; end of 1st quarter rally coming? blogroll blue collar investor cnnmoney: pre-market futures dark liquidity downtowntrader seeking alpha stock chartist stockblogs.com the kirk report the money blogs ticker sense archives archives select month march 2017 (19) february 2017 (17) january 2017 (21) december 2016 (20) november 2016 (21) october 2016 (20) september 2016 (20) august 2016 (21) july 2016 (19) june 2016 (18) may 2016 (22) april 2016 (22) march 2016 (21) february 2016 (21) january 2016 (20) december 2015 (20) november 2015 (19) october 2015 (20) september 2015 (21) august 2015 (19) july 2015 (20) june 2015 (23) may 2015 (19) april 2015 (21) march 2015 (23) february 2015 (18) january 2015 (19) december 2014 (21) november 2014 (20) october 2014 (22) september 2014 (22) august 2014 (20) july 2014 (22) june 2014 (22) may 2014 (20) april 2014 (21) march 2014 (22) february 2014 (20) january 2014 (21) december 2013 (22) november 2013 (20) october 2013 (22) september 2013 (21) august 2013 (19) july 2013 (18) june 2013 (17) may 2013 (20) april 2013 (22) march 2013 (20) february 2013 (19) january 2013 (21) december 2012 (22) november 2012 (20) october 2012 (20) september 2012 (21) august 2012 (25) july 2012 (22) june 2012 (21) may 2012 (22) april 2012 (23) march 2012 (20) february 2012 (21) january 2012 (20) december 2011 (21) november 2011 (21) october 2011 (21) september 2011 (23) august 2011 (23) july 2011 (18) june 2011 (21) may 2011 (19) april 2011 (20) march 2011 (23) february 2011 (19) january 2011 (20) december 2010 (23) november 2010 (21) october 2010 (20) september 2010 (22) august 2010 (22) july 2010 (21) june 2010 (22) may 2010 (20) april 2010 (7) march 2010 (6) february 2010 (8) january 2010 (7) december 2009 (7) november 2009 (6) october 2009 (4) september 2009 (5) august 2009 (6) july 2009 (7) june 2009 (9) may 2009 (10) april 2009 (14) march 2009 (16) february 2009 (14) january 2009 (18) december 2008 (22) november 2008 (19) october 2008 (22) september 2008 (21) august 2008 (14) july 2008 (22) june 2008 (20) may 2008 (18) april 2008 (22) march 2008 (18) february 2008 (21) january 2008 (21) december 2007 (20) november 2007 (20) october 2007 (23) september 2007 (19) august 2007 (15) july 2007 (10) june 2007 (10) may 2007 (6) april 2007 (9) march 2007 (16) february 2007 (17) january 2007 (20) december 2006 (20) november 2006 (21) october 2006 (21) september 2006 (20) august 2006 (14) july 2006 (13) june 2006 (21) may 2006 (17) april 2006 (17) march 2006 (16) february 2006 (19) january 2006 (19) december 2005 (20) november 2005 (21) october 2005 (22) september 2005 (21) august 2005 (13) july 2005 (20) june 2005 (21) may 2005 (22) april 2005 (12)                 © 2005-2017 wishing wealth blog by dr. eric wish site designed, constructed and maintained by mike wish scroll back to top


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