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triple header – winter storm warning
it’s gonna get deep!
6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend?
chance for heavy snow on saturday night.
woe betide us! it’s cut-off low season
super cold in usa! but rain, not snow, for next week?
rain, snow, and no more one-two punches
will flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold?
full circle – one-two punch back for weekend.
new year’s weekend outlook changes again
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it’s gonna get deep! http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4175
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winter storms http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?cat=86
no responses » http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4175#respond
[…] http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4175
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6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend? http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4170
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winter storms http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?cat=86
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rain, snow, and no more one-two punches http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4151
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[…] http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4144
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full circle – one-two punch back for weekend. http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4138
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triple header – winter storm warning http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4179
it’s gonna get deep! http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4175
6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend? http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4170
chance for heavy snow on saturday night. http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4165
woe betide us! it’s cut-off low season http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4160
super cold in usa! but rain, not snow, for next week? http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4157
rain, snow, and no more one-two punches http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4151
will flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold? http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4144
full circle – one-two punch back for weekend. http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4138
new year’s weekend outlook changes again http://stu-in-flag.net/blog/?p=4134
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about stu’s blog contact stu categories fires flooding lake powell monthly review northern arizona weather outlooks solar activity uncategorized winter storms links climate prediction center flagstaff schools’ snow schedule icecap jet stream navy nogaps forecasting pacific ocean conditions – el nino/la nina tracking space weather stu-in-flag.net stu's monsoon mechanics page thoughts about northern arizona's weather – mostly about stu’s blog contact stu categories fires flooding lake powell monthly review northern arizona weather outlooks solar activity uncategorized winter storms stu's webpages stu-in-flag.net stu's monsoon mechanics page triple header – winter storm warning northern arizona weather no responses » jan 182017 sharethree waves of winter storms will move across the northland between thursday and monday night. a winter storm warning is in effect and included at the bottom of this post. the first two waves my not be distinguishable from each other. once the snow starts falling during the day on thursday, it may not stop until during the night on saturday. the break between the storms happens during the day on friday. heavier snow starts again in the late afternoon on friday and continues into saturday. snow could be very heavy at times. as you can see in the north american mesoscale model below, flagstaff is easily in the 1-2 foot zone. north american mesoscale model total snowfall for the first two storms. (from tropical tidbits) the national weather service has produced an interesting animation of snowfall amounts. notice the heavier snowfall along the mogollon rim. snowfall amounts from thursday to saturday. (national weather service in flagstaff) after a rest on sunday, the snow will start again on sunday evening and continue until tuesday morning. this storm is not included in the current winter storm warning. this storm could bring another 10-14 inches of snow. i expect another warning will be issued for this storm. it’s difficult to differentiate between the shades of gray in the total snowfall image below. flagstaff could be looking at 3 feet, or more, of snow over the next 5-6 days. be careful. enjoy the beauty with a mug of hot chocolate. total snowfall outlook from the gfs model. (from tropical tidbits) urgent - winter weather message national weather service flagstaff az 913 pm mst wed jan 18 2017 azz004-006-007-015-038-191900- /o.con.kfgz.ws.w.0001.170119t1300z-170121t1900z/ kaibab plateau-grand canyon country-coconino plateau- western mogollon rim-oak creek and sycamore canyons- including the cities of...jacob lake...grand canyon village... valle...flagstaff 913 pm mst wed jan 18 2017 ...winter storm warning remains in effect from 6 am thursday to noon mst saturday above 5500 feet... * timing...light to moderate snow will develop and spread from west to east during the day thursday. moderate to heavy snow will develop thursday night...decreasing in intensity during the day friday. a second wave of moderate to heavy snow will develop friday evening through saturday morning. * general event total snow accumulations...depending on your location within the warning area...expect 8 to 16 inches between 5500 and 7000 feet and 12 to 24 inches above 7000 feet. consult point specific forecasts at: weather.gov/flagstaff. * snowfall forecast from 6 am mst thursday until noon mst saturday... doney park 10 to 16 inches flagstaff 16 to 22 inches grand canyon 12 to 18 inches jacob lake 14 to 20 inches north rim 20 to 26 inches valle 9 to 15 inches williams 18 to 24 inches precautionary/preparedness actions... a winter storm warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring...due to significant amounts of snow and strong winds producing limited visibilities. driving will be extremely dangerous during this storm. for the latest road conditions and closures...call the adot freeway management system at 1 888 411 7623 or visit their web site at www.az511.com. additional weather information is on the web at www.weather.gov/flagstaff. share posted by stu at 9:47 pm it’s gonna get deep! northern arizona weather, winter storms no responses » jan 162017 sharea significant snow event, or two, is on the way. month to date, flagstaff has received more than double the average snowfall. the snowy winter of 2016-2017 will continue until everyone needs new skis for next year. the timing for this next storm is pretty clear. snow will start thursday and continue through sunday. as […] posted by stu at 1:29 pm 6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend? monthly review, northern arizona weather, winter storms comments off on 6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend? jan 142017 share6-12 inches for snowbowl, flagstaff gets mostly rain. next weekend? checking the point forecast for snowbowl at the national weather service, it will get 6-12 inches of new snow between saturday afternoon and sunday morning. flagstaff will remain mostly warm. snow levels will be around 7000-7500 feet. so, being careful is important. a slight move […] posted by stu at 1:20 am chance for heavy snow on saturday night. models, northern arizona weather, winter storms comments off on chance for heavy snow on saturday night. jan 122017 sharethe next few days will bring precipitation now and then to the area, while temperatures remain warm. but, this current version of the 24 hour snowfall computer model shows that heavy snow could fall on saturday night. notice the small area of pink, white and green on the image below. some locations, particularly at higher […] posted by stu at 10:53 pm woe betide us! it’s cut-off low season northern arizona weather comments off on woe betide us! it’s cut-off low season jan 112017 share(woe betide the sailor…) the forecast for this weekend is…well…probably wet. actually, probably wet describe the time from now until monday. but, when, where and how much are up in the air. i’ve discussed cut-off low pressure systems repeatedly over the years. they are notoriously difficult to predict, not just from the when and how […] posted by stu at 6:38 pm super cold in usa! but rain, not snow, for next week? northern arizona weather comments off on super cold in usa! but rain, not snow, for next week? jan 072017 sharecredit for a great, quick read o the extent of the cold this morning in north america goes to doctor roy spencer: the frigid 48: u.s. average temperature 11 deg. f. his image below shows the extent of the chill across north america. i wanted to reblog his post directly, but i don’t think he […] posted by stu at 7:29 am rain, snow, and no more one-two punches northern arizona weather comments off on rain, snow, and no more one-two punches jan 052017 sharei think the computer modelers are still struggling with the sea surface temperature inputs from the pacific. it looks like things have settled down in the models. the storm pattern from christmas and new year’s seems to have stopped. the storm track is more northerly. northern arizona will miss the larger storm centers and only […] posted by stu at 8:40 am will flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold? models, northern arizona weather comments off on will flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold? dec 302016 sharesnow is still on the way for the weekend, but the new question is how cold will flagstaff be with next punishing cold wave. current forecasts don’t look too bad. temperatures in the low 30s for highs, and single digits for lows. but look at the outlook for the rest of the country! the deeper […] posted by stu at 6:14 am full circle – one-two punch back for weekend. northern arizona weather comments off on full circle – one-two punch back for weekend. dec 292016 sharegood grief! scattered light snow showers, maybe rain, with the chance of occasional heavy snow! this morning the navy model has flipped back to the one-two punch. the gfs model isn’t far behind. this winter continues to be one of the toughest to forecast. friday night into saturday is the first round. sunday is the […] posted by stu at 6:33 am new year’s weekend outlook changes again northern arizona weather, winter storms comments off on new year’s weekend outlook changes again dec 282016 shareit looks like the computer models are focusing on a weaker version of last weekend. just a few inches of snow are possible. most likely, it will be on saturday, with lighter precipitation on either side. in any case, i would be ready for winter weather this weekend, particularly if you are traveling. here is […] posted by stu at 7:07 am older entries stuinflag stuinflag nws flagstaff weather story nws flagstaff weather storymunich, germanyglockenbachviertel, münchen, bayern temp: 27.5 f (-2.5 c) (-2.5) humidity: 69% wind: calm pressure: 28.34" (959.6 mb) station: ibayernm52 hardware: acurite pro weather center updated: january 21, 2:49 pm cet local forecastglobal sea surface temperatures/anomaly global sea surface temperatures/anomalydaily sunrise/sunset current time 06:49 current event nautical twilight astronomical twilight starts 06:02 nautical twilight starts 06:32 civil twilight starts 07:03 sunrise 07:30 sunset 17:45 civil twilight ends 18:13 nautical twilight ends 18:43 astronomical twilight ends 19:14 flagstaff, az recent posts triple header – winter storm warning it’s gonna get deep! 6-12 inches for snowbowl. flagstaff gets mostly rain? next weekend? chance for heavy snow on saturday night. woe betide us! it’s cut-off low season super cold in usa! but rain, not snow, for next week? rain, snow, and no more one-two punches will flagstaff escape the next round of severe cold? full circle – one-two punch back for weekend. new year’s weekend outlook changes again categories climate conspiracies el nino/la nina fires flooding hurricane lake powell models monsoon monthly review northern arizona weather outlooks pontification record shark oil barometer skew-t solar activity storm glass uncategorized white christmas winter storms archives archives select month january 2017 december 2016 november 2016 september 2016 august 2016 july 2016 june 2016 may 2016 april 2016 march 2016 february 2016 january 2016 december 2015 november 2015 october 2015 september 2015 august 2015 july 2015 june 2015 april 2015 march 2015 february 2015 january 2015 december 2014 november 2014 october 2014 september 2014 august 2014 july 2014 june 2014 may 2014 april 2014 march 2014 february 2014 january 2014 december 2013 november 2013 october 2013 september 2013 august 2013 july 2013 june 2013 april 2013 march 2013 february 2013 january 2013 december 2012 november 2012 october 2012 september 2012 august 2012 july 2012 june 2012 may 2012 april 2012 march 2012 february 2012 january 2012 december 2011 november 2011 october 2011 september 2011 august 2011 july 2011 june 2011 may 2011 april 2011 march 2011 february 2011 january 2011 december 2010 november 2010 october 2010 september 2010 august 2010 july 2010 june 2010 may 2010 april 2010 march 2010 february 2010 january 2010 december 2009 november 2009 october 2009 september 2009 august 2009 july 2009 june 2009 may 2009 april 2009 march 2009 february 2009 january 2009 december 2008 november 2008 october 2008 september 2008 general links flagstaff schools’ snow schedule stu-in-flag.net weather/climate links climate prediction center flagstaff schools’ snow schedule icecap jet stream navy nogaps forecasting pacific ocean conditions – el nino/la nina tracking space weather stu's monsoon mechanics page log-in/log-out/etc log in entries rss comments rss wordpress.org home about stu’s blog contact stu total petition signatures © 2011 stu's weather blog suffusion theme by sayontan sinha 10 visitors online now 2 guests, 8 bots, 0 members max visitors today: 18 at 12:40 am utc this month: 51 at 01-17-2017 01:30 pm utc this year: 51 at 01-17-2017 01:30 pm utc all time: 1611 at 04-27-2012 06:53 pm utc


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