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Titlefabius maximus website – helping to re-ignite the spirit of a nation grown cold.

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Description a online journal about geopolitics from an american's perspective, discussing ways to reignite the spirit of a nation grown cold.

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H1
fabius maximus website
H2
the new industrial revolution hits retail: prepare for mass firings.
how the left lost but can win again
the gop might impeach trump, changing our politics forever – for the better
a example of climate activists at work that shows why they lost
the left becomes a cult rather than gather support to oppose trump
martin van creveld advises trump to not repeat obama’s errors & invade syria
an eminent climate scientist describes the frontiers of climate science
posts navigation
H3
what went wrong?
“an inside look at the politics of climate science“
“are you listening, president trump?”
“a new paradigm for assessing the role of humanity in the climate system — and in climate change“
a note about progress in science
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H4 by professor roger pielke, jr. presented at the university of florida, 17 march 2017. posted with his generous permission.
by martin van creveld. from his website, 16 march 2017.
re-posted with his generous permission.
by roger pielke, sr. posted with his generous permission.
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editor of the fabius maximus website
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joe bonham
marcus j. ranum
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editor of the fabius maximus website
tom hayden
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marcus j. ranum
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- https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/24/mass-firings-coming-to-retail/
the new industrial revolution hits retail: prepare for mass firings. https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/24/mass-firings-coming-to-retail/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/24/mass-firings-coming-to-retail/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
the retail apocalypse has officially descended on america http://www.businessinsider.com/the-retail-apocalypse-has-officially-descended-on-america-2017-3
a bloomberg report https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-21/bebe-said-to-plan-to-shut-its-stores-in-brick-and-mortar-retreat
sears and kmart locations http://www.businessinsider.com/list-of-sears-and-kmart-stores-closing-2017-1
shutting down about 14% of its locations http://www.businessinsider.com/jcpenney-stores-closing-2017-3
at risk of dying off http://www.businessinsider.com/dying-shopping-malls-are-wreaking-havoc-on-suburban-america-2017-2
sears might be the next to go http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sears-restructuring-vendors-iduskbn16t31s
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/24/mass-firings-coming-to-retail/#more-103347
3rd industrial revolution https://fabiusmaximus.com/category/3rd-industrial-revolution/
economics https://fabiusmaximus.com/category/economics-2/
automation https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/automation/
employment https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/employment/
profits https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/profits/
retail sales https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/retail-sales/
stores https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/stores/
18 comments https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/24/mass-firings-coming-to-retail/#comments
how the left lost but can win again https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/23/how-the-left-has-lost-and-can-win/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/23/how-the-left-has-lost-and-can-win/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
the four oxen and the lion http://www.aesopfables.com/cgi/aesop1.cgi?sel&thefouroxenandthelion
- https://fabiusmaximus.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/hand-shake-in-alliance.jpg
the left becomes a cult rather than gather support to oppose trump https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/20/the-left-becomes-a-cult/
performative centrist http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/03/lgm-left-become-cult
social justice warriors https://fabiusmaximus.com/2016/11/11/why-clinton-lost/
listen, liberal: or, what ever happened to the party of the people? https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1250118131/ref=as_li_tl?ie=utf8&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeasin=1250118131&linkcode=as2&tag=thefabimaxiwe-20&linkid=8e6da00e1d80b9acead218209b4060be
why trump and sanders were inevitable: it was only a matter of time before we had a populist backlash to 30 years of flawed globalization policies that both parties embraced http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/why-donald-trump-and-bernie-sanders-were-inevitable-213685?paginate=false
the overlap in views of trump and sanders http://www.theatlantic.com/notes/2016/01/what-bernie-sanders-and-donald-trump-have-in-common/422907/
‘front porch focus group’ explores appeal of trump’s right-wing message to working-class voters http://www.workingamerica.org/press/releases/front-porch-focus-group-explores-appeal-of-trump-s-right-wing-message
the rumors about a trump-putin conspiracy https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/09/debunking-the-trump-putin-conspiracy/
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/23/how-the-left-has-lost-and-can-win/#more-103288
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11 comments https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/23/how-the-left-has-lost-and-can-win/#comments
- https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/22/impeach-trump-and-the-republic-changes/
the gop might impeach trump, changing our politics forever – for the better https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/22/impeach-trump-and-the-republic-changes/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/22/impeach-trump-and-the-republic-changes/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
march 21, 2017 https://twitter.com/maxinewaters/status/844170858159636480
american democracy is doomed http://www.vox.com/2015/3/2/8120063/american-democracy-doomed
bruce ackerman https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/bruce_ackerman
summary here http://scholarship.law.wm.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1579&context=wmlr
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22 comments https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/22/impeach-trump-and-the-republic-changes/#comments
a example of climate activists at work that shows why they lost https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/21/a-example-of-climate-activists-at-work-that-shows-why-they-lost/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/21/a-example-of-climate-activists-at-work-that-shows-why-they-lost/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
an inside look at the politics of climate science https://rogerpielkejr.com/2017/03/17/talk-at-uf-on-the-climate-wars/
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/21/a-example-of-climate-activists-at-work-that-shows-why-they-lost/#more-103213
politics https://fabiusmaximus.com/category/politics/
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1 comment https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/21/a-example-of-climate-activists-at-work-that-shows-why-they-lost/#comments
the left becomes a cult rather than gather support to oppose trump https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/20/the-left-becomes-a-cult/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/20/the-left-becomes-a-cult/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
- https://fabiusmaximus.files.wordpress.com/2017/03/left-wing-politics.jpg
lawyers, guns, and money http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/
asst prof of history at the u or ri http://web.uri.edu/history/meet/erik-loomis/
dumbasses of america http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/03/dumbasses-of-america
however, it does lead to the occasional special anecdote that truly sums up the stupidity of many white people. http://www.myajc.com/news/breaking-news/trump-voters-south-georgia-come-terms-with-gop-health-plan/yghasvez7yezowzqzhyylm/
trump voters. again. http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/03/trump-voters-again
an artist http://vacuumslayer.deviantart.com/
i’m a silicon valley liberal, and i traveled across the country to interview 100 trump supporters — here’s what i learned http://www.lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com/2017/03/trump-voters-again
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/20/the-left-becomes-a-cult/#more-103194
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44 comments https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/20/the-left-becomes-a-cult/#comments
martin van creveld advises trump to not repeat obama’s errors & invade syria https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/19/martin-van-creveld-advises-trump-about-syria/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/19/martin-van-creveld-advises-trump-about-syria/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
are you listening, president trump? http://www.martin-van-creveld.com/listening-president-trump/
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/19/martin-van-creveld-advises-trump-about-syria/#more-103180
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2 comments https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/19/martin-van-creveld-advises-trump-about-syria/#comments
an eminent climate scientist describes the frontiers of climate science https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/18/reoger-pielke-sr-status-report-climate-science/
https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/18/reoger-pielke-sr-status-report-climate-science/
editor of the fabius maximus website https://fabiusmaximus.com/author/fabiusmaximus2000/
a new paradigm for assessing the role of humanity
in the climate system — and in climate change
https://pielkeclimatesci.files.wordpress.com/2017/02/ppt-136.pdf
the structure of scientific revolutions https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0226458121/ref=as_li_tl?ie=utf8&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeasin=0226458121&linkcode=as2&tag=thefabimaxiwe-20&linkid=29751d1535a50b1a2d54c1c278618b1b
tool- or instrument-driven revolutions http://digital.csic.es/bitstream/10261/9517/3/concept-driven_revolutions_and_tool-driven_revolutions.pdf
central dogma of molecular biology https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/central_dogma_of_molecular_biology
read more https://fabiusmaximus.com/2017/03/18/reoger-pielke-sr-status-report-climate-science/#more-103169
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climate change https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/climate-change/
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roger pielke sr https://fabiusmaximus.com/tag/roger-pielke-sr/
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europe: on the road to division or unification? https://fabiusmaximus.com/41237-2/
financial crisis: how will this end? https://fabiusmaximus.com/financial-crisis/
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a new industrial revolution has begun https://fabiusmaximus.com/future/next-industrial-revolution-68679-2/
end of the post-wwii geopolitical regime https://fabiusmaximus.com/future/economy-archive/
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cfan: climate forecast applications network http://www.cfanclimate.net/
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advertisements fabius maximus website helping to re-ignite the spirit of a nation grown cold. search icon search for: menu toggle icon skip to content home about us authors our politics predictions: hits forecast fails & smackdowns contact us the new industrial revolution hits retail: prepare for mass firings. 24 march 201724 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: the new industrial revolution will have its greatest effect on industries that have large imbalances. like retail, after decades of overbuilding stores. lots of jobs will be destroyed. watch closely, other industries will be hit with similar shocks. hayley petersen at business insider points to the next wave of the industrial revolution: “the retail apocalypse has officially descended on america” — “thousands of mall-based stores are shutting down in what’s fast becoming one of the biggest waves of retail closures in decades. more than 3,500 stores are expected to close in the next couple of months. department stores like jcpenney, macy’s, sears, and kmart are among the companies shutting down stores, along with middle-of-the-mall chains like crocs, bcbg, abercrombie & fitch, and guess. “some retailers are exiting the brick-and-mortar business altogether and trying to shift to an all-online model. for example, bebe is closing all its stores — about 170 — to focus on increasing its online sales, according to a bloomberg report. the limited also recently shut down all 250 of its stores, but it still sells merchandise online. …sears is shutting down about 10% of its sears and kmart locations, or 150 stores, and jcpenney is shutting down about 14% of its locations, or 138 stores. … “the real-estate research firm green street advisors estimates that about 30% of all malls fall under those classifications. that means that nearly a third of shopping malls are at risk of dying off as a result of store closures. according to many analysts, the retail apocalypse has been a long time coming in the us, where stores per capita far outnumber that of any other country.” petersen understates the situation for retail stories, overlooking the inevitable bankruptcies (sears might be the next to go). as a modern business reporter, she mentions the effects on businesses but not the large-scale firings when those stores close. how many might lose their jobs? read more → 3rd industrial revolution, economics automation, employment, profits, retail sales, stores 18 comments how the left lost but can win again 23 march 201722 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: so far the left has talked of forming a resistance to trump, a first step to pushing back the power of the 1% and rolling back the gop’s gains in state and federal governments. but they have shown little interest in building the broad coalition needed to do so. here is a brief recap of how the left got here, and how it can reform to win. “united we stand, divided we fall.” — from aesop’s fable, “the four oxen and the lion“. the response was fascinating to my post the left becomes a cult rather than gather support to oppose trump. most validated my observations about the left. contempt for workers, factionalism, in-group jargon (my favorite: i’m a “performative centrist“) — and a remarkable drop from the high intellectual standards formerly commonplace on the left. what went wrong? the 1% has grown powerful since their renaissance began in 1964. worse, as many people warned, american workers have drifted from the left to right as the left shifted its focus from economic growth and income redistribution to them to the priorities of social justice warriors (starting the bathroom wars during the campaign was almost suicidal). thomas frank wrote several books about this, most recently listen, liberal: or, what ever happened to the party of the people? also see michael hirsh’s “why trump and sanders were inevitable: it was only a matter of time before we had a populist backlash to 30 years of flawed globalization policies that both parties embraced” in politico magazine, february 2016. most on the left prefer not see the overlap in views of trump and sanders. also see this insightful report by working america: “‘front porch focus group’ explores appeal of trump’s right-wing message to working-class voters.” all of this appears to have had little effect on the left. the response to trump’s election has been to double-down on failed tactics — obsession with the rumors about a trump-putin conspiracy plus lots and lots of name-calling. read more → politics left-wing, new deal, populism, progressive 11 comments the gop might impeach trump, changing our politics forever – for the better 22 march 201724 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: president trump might spark a change in our politics both unexpected and (as it will seem afterwards) inevitable, making our 18th century constitutional regime more similar to modern parliamentary systems. if he continues to act wildly and weirdly, the republicans in congress might impeach and remove him — putting the solidly far-right mike pence at the helm. trump would be the first president removed by congress, but not the last. the occasional impeachment of presidents would make congress the federal power center the founders intended it to be. get ready for impeachment. — maxine waters (@maxinewaters) march 21, 2017 a long-time concern of constitutional lawyers and political scientists has been the fundamental instability of presidential governance systems, like that of the usa. how are deep and irreconcilable conflicts between congress and the president resolved? worse, what happens if we get an incompetent president after he loses the confidence of congress, the public, and perhaps even senior executive branch officers? especially at a time of national crisis, the result could be disastrous — with no obvious remedy. for example, see “american democracy is doomed” by matthew yglesias at vox. in the early 1980s bruce ackerman (prof law, yale) began to study the process of constitutional change in america. he found an informal method of evolution other than the formal processes specified in the constitution, which he called “higher lawmaking” (summary here). after the great crises of the civil war, the great depression, and wwii — america’s political regime bears little resemblance to its form during washington’s administration. the trump years might create its next great test. much of america’s social change since wwii results from elites’ recognition that they can break the informal social norms that govern their behavior. doctors can practice medicine as a business and become rich. ceos can arrange corporations to pay themselves fantastic sums and so become plutocrats. elected representatives can arrange to become almost permanent fixtures, retiring wealthy. all of these changes seemed impossible before they happened, until they realized that the social norms that constrained them were just paper shackles. in the next few years congress might realize that they can impeach a president at will, drastically changing the structure of us government to more closely resemble the parliamentary governments used by almost all other republics (for good reason few nations have copied our odd structure). trump might force this break in precedent; its effects will change america’s government forever. to better understand this, let’s turn to someone from a nation with a longer history and who sees the constitution more clearly (distance gives perspective, allowing a dispassionate analysis). he shows that the constitution’s 175 words about the impeachment process give congress a powerful tool with few limits, limited mostly by americans’ customs — which can change. read more → politics congress, constitution, denis baranger, donald trump, impeachment 22 comments a example of climate activists at work that shows why they lost 21 march 201721 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: here is a first-person account of a small but telling incident in the climate policy wars, showing how the methods used by climate activists won battles, but lost the war. their political power could destroy opponents, but doing so did not convince a majority of the us public. now republican gains have closed the door for action by the federal government and most states, at least for the foreseeable future. the effects could be unfortunate. “sooner or later, everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences.” — attributed to robert louis stevenson. “an inside look at the politics of climate science“ by professor roger pielke, jr. presented at the university of florida, 17 march 2017. posted with his generous permission. read more → politics, science & nature climate change, climate science, propaganda, roger pielke jr 1 comment the left becomes a cult rather than gather support to oppose trump 20 march 201720 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: much will depend in the next four years on america’s ability to resist trump. the left could play a large role, but its response so far suggests that it will not be able to. two recent articles show why this seems likely. also, see the fascinating rebuttal posted at lawyers, guns, and money! people often characterize a political movement by looking at the odd and foolish among them, and examine their reactions to events for insights to the movement’s core beliefs. that’s foolish. instead look to the best of them. for examples on the left, look at lawyers, guns, and money. see erik loomis’ (asst prof of history at the u or ri) essay “dumbasses of america“, which illustrates why the left has lost so much of its influence in america, and might be unable to effectively resist trump. “the genre of “let’s talk to idiotic white voters who support trump even though he will decimate their lives” is already more stale than bread baked on november 8. however, it does lead to the occasional special anecdote that truly sums up the stupidity of many white people.“ many of these “idiotic white voters”, or their parents, voted for democrats in the past — and can again in the future. turn to another post to see what the left finds objectionable in them: “trump voters. again.” by beth spencer (aka vacuumslayer, an an artist). she comments on “i’m a silicon valley liberal, and i traveled across the country to interview 100 trump supporters — here’s what i learned” by sam altman. here are the excerpts from the interview, and spencer’s comment. “you all can defeat trump next time, but not if you keep mocking us, refusing to listen to us, and cutting us out. it’s republicans, not democrats, who will take trump down.” spencer: “in other words, “we’ll vote for someone we dislike and even find unfit for office out of spite.” incredible.” is it incredible that people will not vote for a party whose key people mock them and refuse to listen to them? no, it is not incredible. it quite natural. it’s politics. read more → politics erik loomis, left-wing, vacuumslayer 44 comments martin van creveld advises trump to not repeat obama’s errors & invade syria 19 march 201719 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: martin van creveld warns trump against taking his generals’ advice and invading syria, repeating obama’s mistakes in iraq and afghanistan. history show that his odds of success are low. “are you listening, president trump?” by martin van creveld. from his website, 16 march 2017. re-posted with his generous permission. fifty-six years ago, president kennedy entered office eager to show how weak his predecessor, eisenhower, had been and how brave and decisive he himself was. he sent his troops to vietnam, and the rest is history. two months ago, president trump entered office eager to do the same in respect to his predecessor, president obama. to do so, he has hit on the brilliant idea of sending more american troops to syria. in response, president assad of syria has told him that such troops, deployed without his permission, would not be welcome. also that, over the last seventy years or so, almost every time western, specifically american, troops went into the so-called developing world they failed to achieve their objectives. in quite a few cases the outcome was to open the gates of hell, as the koran put itas the following, extremely partial, list of their failures shows, assad is right. 1944-1948. a few hundred active “terrorists” hound the british out of palestine, leading to the establishment of the state of israel. 1946-1954. french troops are defeated in indochina, leading to vietnamese, cambodian, and laotian independence. 1948-1960. british troops fail to hold malaya and end up by withdrawing from the country. thanks to a masterpiece of propaganda, the brits make most of the world believe that they had actually won the war. but this does not prevent malaysia from becoming independent state. {see details here.} read more → 4gw coin, counterinsurgency, insurgent, martin van creveld 2 comments an eminent climate scientist describes the frontiers of climate science 18 march 201718 march 2017editor of the fabius maximus website summary: here is a status report on climate science by an eminent climate scientists, helping us see its frontiers and so better cope with one of the major challenges of the 21st century. (second of two posts today.) “a new paradigm for assessing the role of humanity in the climate system — and in climate change“ by roger pielke, sr. posted with his generous permission. a note about progress in science geological ages ago at cornell, i learned that science usually takes place on the frontiers of observation. that’s the important insight thomas kuhn overlooked in the structure of scientific revolutions. freeman dyson described this hole as “tool- or instrument-driven revolutions.” these are as or more common than paradigm-driven revolutions. galileo looks through his telescope at the moons of jupiter and our view of the universe changes. watson and crick looked at an x-ray diffraction image of dna and saw its structure; four years later watson formulated the “central dogma of molecular biology” and began a revolution still in its early stage. my guess (guess) is that new observational tools, not just new theories, will end the climate wars. if not, then eventually the changing climate will tell us which side was correct. read more → science & nature climate change, climate science, roger pielke sr 12 comments posts navigation ← older posts subscribe to the fm website! enter your email to receive email notices about new posts. subscribe to our rss feed rss - posts give a tip to fabius maximus: via paypal archive by month archive by month select month march 2017 february 2017 january 2017 december 2016 november 2016 october 2016 september 2016 august 2016 july 2016 june 2016 may 2016 april 2016 march 2016 february 2016 january 2016 december 2015 november 2015 october 2015 september 2015 august 2015 july 2015 june 2015 may 2015 april 2015 march 2015 february 2015 january 2015 december 2014 november 2014 october 2014 september 2014 august 2014 july 2014 june 2014 may 2014 april 2014 march 2014 february 2014 january 2014 december 2013 november 2013 october 2013 september 2013 august 2013 july 2013 june 2013 may 2013 april 2013 march 2013 february 2013 january 2013 december 2012 november 2012 october 2012 september 2012 august 2012 july 2012 june 2012 may 2012 april 2012 march 2012 february 2012 january 2012 december 2011 november 2011 october 2011 september 2011 august 2011 july 2011 may 2011 april 2011 march 2011 february 2011 january 2011 december 2010 november 2010 october 2010 september 2010 august 2010 july 2010 june 2010 may 2010 april 2010 march 2010 february 2010 january 2010 december 2009 november 2009 october 2009 september 2009 august 2009 july 2009 june 2009 may 2009 april 2009 march 2009 february 2009 january 2009 december 2008 november 2008 october 2008 september 2008 august 2008 july 2008 june 2008 may 2008 april 2008 march 2008 february 2008 january 2008 december 2007 november 2007 october 2007 september 2007 july 2007 may 2007 april 2007 march 2007 january 2007 december 2006 november 2006 july 2006 march 2006 january 2006 december 2005 november 2005 october 2005 july 2005 november 2003 october 2003 september 2003 categoriescategories select category 3rd industrial revolution 4gw america art, myth, & literature book, film, & tv reviews cybersecurity & cyberwar demography economics europe geopolitical news good news grand strategy history information & news internal internet’s impacts iraq & afghanistan oil & energy other issues our long war our military politics post-wwii era over? 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